Wednesday/Thursday Snowstorm – WINTER STORM WARNING!

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Midwest Snowstorm AP 112618_1543230502742.jpg.jpg
Winter Storm Warning in Pink, Winter Weather Advisory in Purple

Snowfall rates are up to an inch an hour. Wind gusts: Benton Harbor 46 mph, Kalamazoo 46 mph, Lansing 43 mph, Grand Rapids 37 mph last hour. Significant drifting, visibility down to 1/4 mile at times – many accidents and slide-offs.

Pic. through a screen showing heavy snow at the Steffen house

Here’s a pic. taken thru a screen around 2:30 pm of the snow at my house on a hill in Alpine Township. This includes some snow that has blown off the roof, but as of 3 pm, it looks like +4″ here and coming down at the rate of 1/2 to 1″ an hour. Already we have drifts of 12-18″. Temp. down to 20.7 at my house and falling.

The WINTER STORM WARNING extended to Friday AM and WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY have been extended to Thursday afternoon. Van Buren and Kalamazoo Counties have been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning.

A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for Kalamazoo, Van Buren, Allegan, Ottawa, Kent, Muskegon, Newaygo, Oceana, Mason, Manistee, Wexford, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Leelanau Counties. It’s a Winter Weather Advisory for Berrien, Cass, Van Buren, Kalamazoo, Calhoun, Jackson, Barry, Ionia, Eaton, Ingham, Clinton, Montcalm, Gratiot, Mecosta, Isabella, Clare, Osceola, Emmet, Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Antrim, Otsego, Montgmorency, Kalkaska, Crawford, Missaukee and Charlevoix Counties. Both the Warning and the Advisory will be in effect until 7 am Thursday. There are Gale Warnings out on Lake Michigan for gusts over 40 mph and waves up to 7-11 feet. Stay off the piers and breakwalls.

Check out the latest Gr. Rapids National Weather Service Forecast Discussion. Their 3:34 Wed. AM update: “…A SLIGHTLY LATER START TO THE HEAVIER SNOWS, MORE TOWARD 10 AM. ALSO THE WINDS LOOK A BIT LESS TODAY DUE TO A SLIGHTLY MORE SRN TRACK OF THE SFC LOW ACROSS NRN LWR MI.   MAX WIND GUSTS TODAY NOW LOOK TO BE AROUND 40 MPH, AND MAINLY JUST SOUTH OF A Muskegon to Mt. Pleasant LINE. PEAK INTENSITY IN WIND AND HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR WHITEOUTS WILL BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. RISK OF POWER OUTAGES DOES NOT LOOK PARTICULARLY HIGH, BUT   STILL ENOUGH WIND TO CREATE BLOWING SNOW AND OCCASIONAL WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

EVEN THOUGH THE EARLY MORNING COMMUTE PERIOD LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY   
OKAY, ROAD/TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE SIGNIFICANTLY LATER   
THIS MORNING AS THE CURRENT ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES (MID 30S)   
DROP ABRUPTLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S AND SNOW QUICKLY COATS THE   
GROUND. THIS IS A PERFECT RECIPE FOR ICY/TREACHEROUS CONDITIONS TO   
DEVELOP SUDDENLY WHICH COMBINED WITH THE GREATLY REDUCED   
VISIBILITIES COULD LEAD TO NUMEROUS TRAFFIC INCIDENTS.BY FRIDAY THERE COULD   
EASILY BE FEW LOCATIONS IN WRN LWR MI THAT RECEIVE WELL OVER A   
FOOT OF NEW SNOW. AT SOME POINT VAN BUREN COUNTY AND PERHAPS KALAMAZOO COUNTY WILL NEED TO BE IN A WARNING ONCE DOMINANT NW FLOW BANDING FINALLY SETS   
UP."     (Same for Berrien and Cass Counties)  

This was from the late Tue. evening discussion said: “WE ARE STILL QUITE CONCERNED ABOUT THE CONDITIONS THAT WILL OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY. THE CONCERNS FOR WEDNESDAY ARE DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FACTORS, INCLUDING LAKE-EFFECT SNOW, STRONG WINDS, BLOWING SNOW, FALLING TEMPERATURES AND ICY/SNOW COVERED ROADS. WE FEEL THERE WILL BE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES IN THE WARNING AREA (in pink on the map)…OR ESSENTIALLY FROM THE U.S. 131 CORRIDOR TO THE WEST. THERE MAY BE A BIT MORE SNOW THROUGH 700AM ON THURSDAY FOR PLACES LIKE LUDINGTON, BUT THERE WILL BE MORE WIND INVOLVED FOR PLACES LIKE HOLLAND, MUSKEGON AND GRAND RAPIDS. ALL IN ALL WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO SEE SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL IMPACTS WITH DANGEROUS CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. SNOWFALL TOTALS BY THE END OF FRIDAY IN THE LAKESHORE COUNTIES WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET IN SPOTS.

That’s 1 – 2 feet of snow PLUS SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING. Here’s radar:

Here’s current Michigan weather observations and a current Michigan weather map. Here’s WOOD’s list of closings and delays.

Warnings and Advisories for N. Lower Michigan and E. Upper Michigan
Grand Rapids NWS graphic on the Wed. – Thu. storm.

A Gale Warning has been issued for Lake Michigan from Tue. evening until Wed. night. Winds could be strong enough to make 1-2 or even 1-3 foot drifts by late Thursday. There is certainly the possibility of school closings Thursday and perhaps even a few on Friday. I can’t rule out a few closings or early dismissals on Wed. if things deteriorate quickly. Winds from the west mean drifting snow across north/south roads could be significant.

HRRR Model Snow Forecast – Significant Lake Effect Snow Downwind from All 5 Great Lakes
GFS model snowfall amounts – locally higher amounts likely

Here’s the GFS forecast snowfall forecast for Wed. into Thu. These totals may be a little underdone and keep in mind that we’ll have significant drifting snow. More snow is possible Thursday night into Friday.

Much Less Snow, but Strong Winds Across N Indiana. Parts of NW Indiana may see more lake-effect snow on Thursday.
Wind Advisory for N. Indiana, NW Ohio and the Michigan Counties that border Indiana
Heavy snowfall is likely downwind from all of the Great Lakes

Things to think about: Observe odd/even parking if applicable, keep pets indoors if possible during the coldest days and nights, dig snow away from fire hydrants, feed the birds, minimize travel, check on neighbors and relatives during the worst days of winter. Drive safely – slow down and leave a good interval between you and the vehicle in front of you. Give snowplows some room. Tell those working out in the storm – delivering to your door that they are appreciated.

Very Cold Wind Chill Readings Wed. PM – Thu. AM

Bittersweet Ski Area Mon. evening

Here’s a webcam grab from Bittersweet Ski Area Mon. evening. I was watching and they made snow all night. I can see that new runs have been opened. Timber Ridge near Gobles opened up Monday. Cannonsburg will open next Saturday, Jan. 8 and conditions should be very good to excellent after the midweek snow is groomed.

ALSO: Atlantic storm produces over a foot of snow in part of VA, MD, DE and NJ. Snow in Scotland. A fresh surge of arctic air is leading to impressive 3 hour temperature falls in Montana – 30-40F temperature falls in spots. Heavy rainfall in the Carolinas and Georgia. Lincoln, Nebraska was 5° at midnight Sunday night…then 34° at midnight Monday night. Two feet of snow in parts of WA and OR. Timelapse of snow accumulating in Fairfax, Virginia. Seattle has had 9.2″ of snow this winter, Gatlinburg TN has had 9.0″ of snow this winter. National High/Low temps for Monday January 03, 2022: 84 at Homestead, FL, Marathon, FL, Boca Chica, FL; -29 at Antero Reservoir, CO,

AND: Magnitude 4.8 quake SE of Mina, Nevada. Wind chills down to -45 in Montana. More rain and mountain snow for the Pacific NW. NASA’s James Web Telescope successfully deploys its 70-foot sunshield that will protect the $10 billion device’s scientific instruments at temperatures under -380F. Amtrak train from NOLA to NYC is finally on the move again after hundreds of people were stranded for 40 hours following snowstorm. National High/Low temps for Tuesday January 04, 2022: 81 at 7 miles north northeast of Miles City, FL; -21 at Van Buren, ME, Masardis, ME.

Snow amounts from the Eastern storm
Satellite view of the snow on the ground from the Eastern Snowstorm

Nice crescent moon right now.

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