There has been very little severe weather of late in the U.S. Up until Tuesday, in the last 17 days, there have been only three small tornadoes in the entire country. From Nov. 12th through the 24th, there wasn’t a single report of severe criteria hail in the U.S.
Tuesday the stretch of quiet weather ended. As of 8 am Wed. there were 35 tornadoes – 20 in MS and 2 in LA and 13 in AL, along with 35 reports of wind damage and 31 reports of large hail up to 2″ in diameter. Here was the Severe Weather Outlook Area from the Storm Prediction Center for this (Tue.) PM/night:
SPC had a Moderate Risk (level 4) for a small portion of NE Louisiana and a large portion of Central Mississippi. They said: “Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, very large hail, and a few severe wind gusts are expected /Tue. afternoon into the overnight period across parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley and parts of the Southeast. A few strong tornadoes will be possible.”
The map above showed the percent chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a given point. The red area was a 30% chance. The hatched area was a 10% or greater probability of an EF2 – EF5 tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Here was the percent chance of a wind damage report within 25 miles of a given point. There was a large 15% area outlined that ran from near the Gulf of Mexico north into Western Kentucky. The 5% risk came north almost to South Bend.
The probability of a severe hail report within 25 miles of a given point was upgraded. There was a 30% risk area (in red on the map) and a hatched area where there was a 10% or greater probability of two- inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Jackson, Mississippi Radar
Note i was at the Holland Parade of Lights (with Santa) this Tue. evening. Lots of people stopped to say “hi” to me – very nice to get out and meet the viewers.
It still looks pretty cold for the 2nd week of December. Have a nice day!