Friday Evening Update – No organized severe weather is likely in Lower Michigan Saturday (and probably Sunday and Monday).

This is the Severe Weather Outlook Map for this Sunday 5/29. There is an Enhanced Outlook (level 3) from Nebraska into Central Minnesota. That’s surrounded by the Slight Risk that runs from Canada to NE Colorado. SPC says: “Severe thunderstorms associated with large hail, wind damage and a few tornadoes are expected across parts of the central and northern Plains eastward into the Upper Mississippi Valley today into tonight. Wind gusts of 60 to 85 mph and hailstones of greater than 2″ in diameter will be possible from northern Nebraska northeastward into southwest and central Minnesota.

This is the Severe Weather Outlook Map for Monday. One again there is an Enhanced Outlook – from the eastern Dakotas across NW Iowa and much of Minnesota. The Slight Risk Area runs from Canada to Oklahoma. This could be another day with significant severe weather. SPC says: “Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast from parts of the Upper Midwest southward into the central Great Plains on Monday and Monday night. Large to giant hail, 60-80 mph gusts, and several tornadoes are probable, including the possibility for a couple of intense long-track tornadoes over parts of the Upper Midwest.

Severe Weather Outlook Area for Tue. 5 31

The primary threat for severe weather Tuesday PM/night is west and southwest of Lower Michigan. There is a Marginal Risk west of a line from Oscoda to South Haven.

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The G.R. National Weather Service did issue one Tornado Warning Wednesday evening – for Western Allegan County. There’s a separate thread with some pics. on that from W. Allegan Co:

There were two reports of power lines down in S. Lower Michigan – near Burr Oak in St. Joseph and in Branch Co. southeast of Coldwater. There were a few random lightning strikes.

Storm Reports from Wed. 5 25 22

There was one small and very brief confirmed tornado northwest of Beloit, Wisconsin. There were 18 reports of wind damage in Indiana – as close as Dyer and Munster (my wife’s hometown), 7 reports of wind damage in Illinois, and 4 reports each in S. Wisconsin and W. Ohio.

About mid-afternoon, SPC upgraded the Marginal Risk to a Slight Risk Area (level 2) across N. Indiana and small parts of NE Illinois and extreme SW Michigan. There were tornado warnings west of Chicago in NE Illinois. The Marginal Risk Area comes up to Grand Rapids.

There were 37 of reports of wind damage in Mississippi – most were lined up near the Natchez Trace Parkway. At one point downed trees blocked both southbound lanes of I-55 near Wesson and chicken houses were extensively damaged near the town of Geraldine.

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LIVE RADAR

Today (Thurs.) there will be a Low or Marginal Risk of a severe thunderstorm south of a line from Holland to Grand Rapids to Flint. Very isolated wind damage would be the risk.

We’ll be tracking any storms that do develop this PM.

Sunset at South Haven Tuesday Evening

Daylight continues to lengthen. Sunrise is now at 6:09 am and sunset at 9:09 pm. That gives us15 hours of daylight. We’ve had a cloudy week. The last 7 days have brought us just 27% of possible sunshine. Remember we just had the cloudiest April ever with just 30% sunshine. The average high/low is now up to 73°/51°.

Tuesday evening the temperature at the S. Haven Airport was 67° with an east wind (off the land). Just several miles away at the beach, the temperature was 51° with a NW wind off the cooler water. The water temp. at the S. Haven buoy was back down to 50° late Tuesday.