The top map shows the odds of a White Christmas in Michigan. A White Christmas is defined as at least one inch of snow on the ground at 7 1m Christmas morning. This year, I think we have a pretty good chance of seeing snow on the ground for Christmas (though too far out to make a firm prediction on this).

8-14 Day Temperature Outlook for December 17-23

Here’s the latest 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. Not a single acre of the contiguous 48 states is given a warmer than average (orange/red) forecast. Most of the country is expected to be colder than average with near average temperature for the Florida Peninsula and for most of New England.

8-14 Day Precipitation Forecast for December 17-23

The corresponding 8-14 Day Precipitation Forecast shows near average precipitation for the Great Lakes. With the cold temperatures that could be above average snowfall.

Lake Michigan water temperatures

This is a map showing the estimated (from IR satellite) water temps. of Lake Michigan on Dec. 8. With water temps. mostly in the low 40s, there is the potential for significant lake-effect snow if other factors come together.

A storm system will bring heavy snow to the Western mountains (up to 3 FEET!), then move out to cause near blizzard conditions across the Dakotas. The heavy snow from this system will stay to our west.

ALSO: UTQIAGVIK (BARROW) AK set an all-time highest December temperature record on Dec. 5th with a high temperature of 40°. The wind went southeast and it was not coming off the Arctic Ocean, which surrounds Utqiagvik on 3 sides. The high temperature on the 4th was 21° and the high temperature on the 6th was 20°, so the “warm” air didn’t last long. The temperature for Dec. 1-8 in Utqiagvik was exactly average. As I type this late Friday evening, the temperature in Utqiagvik was 0°F.

AND: Fast-mo lightning in Oklahoma. Christmas lights in Ireland. Green and red snow in South Dakota. Gas prices continue to come down. The Christmas lights of New York City. Sunset at Walney Island. Full moon over a ship.

Here’s Michigan ski resort conditions.

Final note: The Middleville Christmas Parade and the rescheduled Battle Creek Christmas Parade will be held this Saturday evening, December 10. The weather should be cloudy and cool with temperatures in the low 30s. More holiday activities.