First, here’s current radar:


Rain moved into SW Michigan late Tuesday and continued on and off on Wednesday with showers possible to likely today (Thu.)

Severe Weather Outlook Map for Thursday and Thursday Night (Oct. 13).

This is the Severe Weather Outlook Map for this Thursday PM/night. There is a risk of a rumble of thunder across most all of Lower Michigan and and eastern Upper Michigan. Severe weather is not expected…though a stronger gust of wind or small hail isn’t impossible in any thundershowers or heavy showers.

Here’s high temperatures Tuesday. Readings were about 10 degrees warmer than average with sunshine thru early afternoon. The high temperature was 65 at Holland State Park. It’s likely we won’t see temperatures this warm until next spring.

Severe Weather Outlook Map for this afternoon (Tue.) and tonight
Lake Michigan waves

We have Small Craft Advisories until 5 pm Saturday…a long period of choppy water on the lake. Be very careful venturing out on the piers and breakwalls.

Peak wind gusts Wednesday: 51 mph at the Holland Channel (quick wind shift from SSW to WNW), 48 mph Kalamazoo, 47 mh Roosevelt Park, 46 mph Norton Shores, Muskegon and Jackson, 45 mph Battle Creek, 44 mph Jackson, 40 mph Charlotte, 39 mph Grand Rapids.

Here’s current Michigan weather observations and a Michigan weather map (the temperature is the number in the upper left of each station plot). Rainfall as of midnight: 1.51″ Muskegon, 1.22″ Holland, 1.12″ Grand Rapids, 0.95″ Big Rapids, 0.91″ Ionia.

POWER OUTAGE UPDATE: In Florida – as of Thu. AM – Lee Co. was down to 1,653 customers without power and Collier County had 965 without power. A good number of these customers can’t be hooked up because their homes have been destroyed or severely damaged. Puerto Rico still has 15,091 customers without power. About 7,000 customers in P.R. were restored on Wed.

HURRICANE IAN FATALITIES: The official count Tue. evening was 102 They included in that number 3 suicides, 1 homicide and vehicle accidents. I might look into whether those really were hurricane related. 51% of the victims were age 70 or older, only one was in their 40s. Sixty percent of the victims drowned – also there were about a dozen who died because they could not get medical or police help. Many of the fatalities seem to be people who should have evacuated, but didn’t.