The map above is the NCEP model forecast temperatures for Thu. 7 am Jan. 31. First, I certainly hope this is overdone. Second, look at the warming effect of Lake Michigan…temperatures +20 degrees warmer in W. Michigan than in E. Wisconsin. It would likely be clear in Wisconsin, with lake-effect clouds and snow in Lower Michigan.
The GFS 16-day plot has the surface temp. at mid-afternoon Fri. 1/25 at +10° in G.R. and +16° on Saturday – that’s the next Arctic shot with the 850 mb (about a mile above the ground) down to -24°C on Friday…BUT the 850 mb temp. is down to -27 on 1/31. The European has -24° on Fri. and -28.6° on Fri. the 1/31. So, the Arctic air next week is supposed to be even colder than the cold this week!
So far this cool season: October was 0.6° cooler than average in G.R., November was 5.5° colder than average, December was 3.3° warmer than average and so far, January is 1.7° warmer than average, though the cold shots coming will likely erase that by the end of the month. February will surely start colder than average. The map above is the latest 8-14 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. You can see the very high probability of colder than average temperatures east of the Rockies with the core of the cold in the Western Great Lakes.
Here’s snow cover across the U.S. – 51.3% (over half) of the contiguous U.S. had a snow cover on Tuesday.
This is the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center for this PM/night (1/23). There is a Slight to Marginal Risk for severe storms from SE Louisiana to Florida.
Weather map for today – Wed.
Also: Rescuing a dog that fell thru the ice. Beautiful rime ice in the full moonlight in Poland. Frozen Niagara Falls. Plane flying thru the lunar eclipse. Thick frost in Estonia. He made it! Don’t try this. One small dog vs. two bigger bears. Freezing a bubble. Cold and snow in Ireland – Belfast Airport closed. Snow hits Paris, France. Ice in Berrien Co. on Tue. Ka-Boom! Snow in England. Gusts to 137 mph on top of Mt. Washington NH. Ice forming rapidly on the Great Lakes. Cool lenticular clouds in Spain. The Clarksville tornado, 20 years ago. Waterfall in winter. Icicles at sunrise. Snow in Utah. Snow in Bosnia. Snow in Belgium. Gigantic snow drifts in Turkey. Halo and sundogs in Latvia. Drone view of the Neuschwanstein Castle in Germany in winter. Coldest in E. Canada in 3 years – temps. in F. Awesome lenticular cloud. Snow in the Netherlands. Snow in Italy. Digging out in Austria. I wouldn’t stand under that snow overhang. Wildfire in S. Africa – it’s summer there.