Two More Arctic Blasts

Bill's Blog
NCEP Jan 31 7 am temps._1548222733042.jpg.jpg

The map above is the NCEP model forecast temperatures for Thu. 7 am Jan. 31.  First, I certainly hope this is overdone.  Second, look at the warming effect of Lake Michigan…temperatures +20 degrees warmer in W. Michigan than in E. Wisconsin.  It would likely be clear in Wisconsin, with lake-effect clouds and snow in Lower Michigan.  

The GFS 16-day plot has the surface temp. at mid-afternoon Fri. 1/25 at +10° in G.R. and +16° on Saturday – that’s the next Arctic shot with the 850 mb (about a mile above the ground) down to -24°C on Friday…BUT the 850 mb temp. is down to -27 on 1/31.  The European has -24° on Fri. and -28.6° on Fri. the 1/31.  So, the Arctic air next week is supposed to be even colder than the cold this week!  

So far this cool season:  October was 0.6° cooler than average in G.R., November was 5.5° colder than average, December was 3.3° warmer than average and so far, January is 1.7° warmer than average, though the cold shots coming will likely erase that by the end of the month.  February will surely start colder than average.  The map above is the latest 8-14 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.  You can see the very high probability of colder than average temperatures east of the Rockies with the core of the cold in the Western Great Lakes. 

Here’s snow cover across the U.S. – 51.3% (over half) of the contiguous U.S. had a snow cover on Tuesday. 

This is the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center for this PM/night (1/23).  There is a Slight to Marginal Risk for severe storms from SE Louisiana to Florida. 

Weather map for today – Wed. 

Also:  Rescuing a dog that fell thru the iceBeautiful rime ice in the full moonlight in Poland.  Frozen Niagara FallsPlane flying thru the lunar eclipseThick frost in EstoniaHe made itDon’t try thisOne small dog vs. two bigger bearsFreezing a bubble.  Cold and snow in Ireland – Belfast Airport closed.  Snow hits Paris, FranceIce in Berrien Co. on TueKa-BoomSnow in EnglandGusts to 137 mph on top of Mt. Washington NHIce forming rapidly on the Great LakesCool lenticular clouds in SpainThe Clarksville tornado, 20 years agoWaterfall in winterIcicles at sunriseSnow in Utah. Snow in BosniaSnow in BelgiumGigantic snow drifts in TurkeyHalo and sundogs in LatviaDrone view of the Neuschwanstein Castle in Germany in winterColdest in E. Canada in 3 years – temps. in F.  Awesome lenticular cloudSnow in the NetherlandsSnow in Italy.  Digging out in Austria.  I wouldn’t stand under that snow overhangWildfire in S. Africa – it’s summer there. 

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