Hurricane Michael

Bill's Blog
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11 pm Wed. – Michael is moving thru Georgia.   Peak gust I saw from the storm was 129 mph (86 mph sustained) at Tyndall AFB.  Otherr peak gusts:  116 mph Magnolia Beach, 113 mph Gulf City, 107 mph Panama City (Tidal Gauge, 102 mph Marianna, 101 mph St. Andrew Bay, 89 mph Apalachicola, 71 mph Tallahassee.  Also: 115 mph Donaldson GA. 83 mph Steam Mill GA, 79 mph Seminole Park GA, 70 Albany GA, 68 Dothan AL, 67 Shell Point FL.  Building damage, many trees and wires down.   Here’s the projected path of Michael:

 
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The counter-clockwise circulation of the storm will help to pull cooler air down across areas west and northwest of the storm’s path and will aid in bringing much cooler air to Michigan starting Thursday. 

[Image of probabilities of 34-kt winds]

This map shows the probability of winds of 39 mph or higher. 

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And the arrival time of the strongest winds.  A tornado watch has been in effect.  Three tornadoes touched down Wed., two in Florida and one in Roberta GA (where there was building damage). 

 

[Image of WPC QPF U.S. rainfall potential]

The map above shows where the heaviest rain will fall and has fallen.  This storm won’t stall like Florence did, so maximum rainfall totals should be much less than what Florence produced in North Carolina.  The flooding in FL is mainly from storm surge (wind pushing water from the ocean inland) and not from heavy rain.  Also check out the latest Public Advisory and Forecast Discussion on the Storm. 


 
Southeast sector loop

Here’s Southeast U.S. radar.

Click for latest Base Reflectivity radar image from the Northwest Florida radar and current weather warnings
And here’s Florida Panhandle (Tallahassee) radar
Atlantic
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We are also tracking minimal Hurricane Leslie (far out in the Atlantic and no threat to land) and Tropical Storm Nadine, which will move northwest and dissipate. 

 
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We also have Tropical Storm Sergio, which will move across the Baja Peninsula as a Tropical Storm.  The storm will be a weaker Tropical Depression as it comes into Texas, New Mexico and Oklahoma.  Some of the moisture from what’s left of Sergio may give us a rainy day next Sunday. 

There are two tropical systems in the Indiana Ocean – “Luban” will move  into the Gulf of Aden

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