The pic. above is me onstage at the downtown G.R. Fireworks Show a few years back – pic. by Paul Jendrasiak. This year the Fourth of July will be hot and humid with a chance of a shower or t-storm. The chance of any one spot seeing rain is about 40% and even in those areas, it should be dry +80% of the day.
This is the (Wed. AM) Severe Weather Outlook Area from the Storm Prediction Center for Wed. the 4th. Michigan is in the (light green) General T-Storm Outlook. The Slight Risk (in yellow) and Marginal or Low Risk (in dark green) are west of us, in Upper Michigan, NW Wisconsin and Minnesota.
The NAM model gives G.R. only a 23% chance of a t-storm today – the GFS (and me) are higher at 40%. Both models give us highs in the low 90s today. The wind should be south-southwest and it should be a few degrees cooler at Lake Michigan. When the lake breeze develops, there may be enough surface convergence to touch off a few showers or t-storms on the leading edge of the lake breeze (which at mid-afternoon would probably be about in the eastern half of the lakeshore counties or along US 131). It should be mostly sunny and pleasant for Friday and the weekend.
A Heat Advisory will be in effect from Noon to 8 pm for temps. in the low 90s and a Heat Index near 100 degrees.
Tuesday was the 4th day in the last 5 days that reached 90 deg. in G.R. It was our 9th day of 90-degree heat this summer. Muskegon’s high of 94 (airport) was one degree shy of the record high for July 3rd.
Also – The water temp. of Reeds Lake Tues. PM climbed to 84° and the water temp. at Muskegon State Park rose to 77°. check out the awesome shelf cloud in the Ukraine. Lightning in France. How the sun works.