Colder Pattern Starts This Weekend

Bill's Blog

“Sacre-blue!” as they might say in France.  Look at all the blue on the 8-14 day temperature outlook for Jan. 24-30.  It’s Coast-to-Coast Cold with blue from Florida to Seattle.  Only western California and Alaska have a better than 50/50 shot at warmer than average temps.  The core of the cold is centered over the Western Lakes.   I think it’s likely that the cold pattern will last at leasts into the first week of February if not beyond.  So…what about snow…you might remember back at the end of Dec. I wrote about the leasts snowy Decembers.  All of the top 4 least snowy Decembers were followed by much snowier Januarys – with snowfall by the end of January from 13″ to 27″.  It would depend on getting some lake effect inland, but 13″ by the end of the month is still doable. 

Cold this (Thu.) AM – Low temps:  18 G.R., 3 Evart, -2 Cadillac, -12 Marquette and Ironwood, -17 Champion. 

This is the precipitation forecast for the same period from the Climate Prediction Center.  The Great Lakes are green – meaning a higher than average probability of above average precipitation…and that would be snow. 

Here’s the 72-hour snowfall probability map from the Weather Prediction Center.  With the storm Friday night into Saturday – the heaviest show should fall across Illinois, Indiana and Ohio.  In Michigan, snowfall will be higher south and lower north…with perhaps 3-5″ possible at the Indiana/Ohio border and 1-2″ in G.R. 

Snow forecast Fri. night/Sat. – could be up to an inch tonight.  Lake-effect to follow Sat. night to Mon. with another snow system Tue. 

Here’s European snow totals:

The above graphic is from the National Weather Service in N. Indiana.  Behind the storm initially the winds are more northerly, which means the lake-effect snow (cold air coming over the lake) could begin in N. Indiana and then move onshore in West Michigan as winds turn northwest. 

The coldest temperatures of the season will come over the weekend into next week.  The overnight run of the GFS-plot gives Grand Rapids a mid-afternoon temp. of 15 on Sunday and the European model (above) has G.R. down to -5 Monday AM and Cadillac to -22.  If we get the combination of fresh snow on the ground (likely), mostly clear skies and calm winds…it should be down below zero Monday AM.  The cold pattern looks to me to hang on into at least the first week of February and likely beyond.  From Dr. Judah Cohen:  “Last night’s ECMWF (model) forecast could be the poster child for the truly museum quality graphics! Brutally for the Eastern US.   From Climate Realists:  Latest UKMET (model) Forecast shows the current cold snap going from bad to worse by early next week… Freeeeezing.”

Also:   Ringo Starr out in the snow (at 78 years old).  THIS is how to clear snow.  There’s a Marginal Risk of a severe thunderstorm over NE Texas Friday PMWestern Europe also gets cold and snowyView of the lunar eclipse Sun. evening in Michigan is iffy, but possible, especially inland, just don’t hold your breath on this one.  Seven FEET of snow possible in the California mountainsPretty Alabama sunsetBubbles!   Arctic cold in ScandanaviaTrain hits truck in GermanyHawk drops prey – grabs it in mid-flightHeavy snow in GermanyThe floating and rotating ice disk in MaineHeavy snow in GreeceThis picture is even more impressive.   High winds cause damage in TurkeyGigantic snowdrift in AustriaHeavy snow in Turkey.  Really close dust devil.  Plowing through deep snow in PolandSnowing in JerusalemSnow in LibyaBlade runner.  Morning rainbow in St. MarteenHeavy snow in France.  More from Reed Timmer:  “BLIZZARD conditions developing at Mammoth Mountain, CA with gusts up to 130 mph at the ridge! Snowfall totals of 6-7 FEET by Friday morning.”  Double rainbow in AlabamaDust storm in Egypt.  Pretty sunrise. How do you shovel thisSnow forecast for Ireland, England and ScotlandAmazing dust devilThundersnow!  Double sinkhole swallowing river.  Betty White is 97 years old today. 

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