Most or all of this Friday will be dry. There could be a period of snow north of Muskegon along the lake (mainly W. Oceana and W. Mason Counties). The significant snow will be in the Chicago Area. A NNE wind will send a band of lake-effect snow into NE Illinois and far NW Indiana.

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect until noon for Lake Co. and most of Cook Co. in Illinois. It’s a Winter Weather Advisory for Du Page and southern Cook Counties in Illinois and for Lake County in Indiana. In the warning areas, 4-8″ is possible. In the Advisory counties, 2-5″ of snow is possible. Roads and highways in the Chicago area will become snow covered and slippery.

Winter Storm Watch from Thu. Evening thru Friday PM

Here’s radar. Links to: Illinois weather observations, Indiana weather observations, Michigan weather observations, and a surface weather map.

Low temps. Friday AM: -22 Randville, -20 Iron Mt., -6 Houghton Lake, -3 Mio, 0 Leota, 1 Bradley, 2 Alma, 3 Baldwin, 5 Hastings, Clarksville, Hudsonville, 6 Charlotte, Marshall, Mt Pleasant, Ionia, Three Rivers, 7 Grand Rapids, W. Olive, 8 Big Rapids, Hillsdale, Mt. Pleasant, Fremont, Kent City, Jackson, Sparta, 9 Evart, Belding, Fennville, Albion, Holland, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Three Rivers, 11 Cadillac, Benton Harbor, 12 South Haven Beach, Coldwater, 13 Muskegon, 14 Manistee, Sturgis, Hart, 15 Ludington.

Snow on the ground Fri. AM: 6″ Grand Rapids and Ionia, 4″ Hastings.

New snow last night: 7.5″ Wilmette, Illinois (the town where I grew up!), 6.4″ Midway Airport/Chicago, 5.0″ Evanston, 3.5″ Oak Lawn.

Grand Rapids hasn’t been above 30° in the last 8 days. So far this January is averaging 4.3° colder than average. We’ve only had one hour all month when the temperature has been above 30 degrees and it sure looks like we’ll end the month with at least an inch of snow on the ground all 31 days of the month.

From the Florida National Weather Service: “…a potentially record-breaking cold blast is forecast to arrive this weekend! Wind Chill values could drop into the lower 20s Sunday morningFalling iguanas are possible in S. Florida Sunday AM (Leapin’ Lizards!).

Grand Rapids has had 25.0″ of snow this month. We’re up to 45.3″ for the winter. We have less than inch to go to reach the total snowfall for all of last winter (46.1″). Through 1/28, we had picked up only 13″ of snow last winter. Then we had 30.6″ of snow in February, which was 6° colder than average. We’ve had just 9 days this month with measurable snow. We’ve had 12 days with a trace of snow and only 6 days when we did not see even one snowflake.

Snowfall next week

We may get a little snow Saturday night into Sunday AM. A more significant snow is possible from late nexst Wed. thru Thursday night. This is the European model run from last night. It shows the heaviest snowfall southeast of a line from Holland to Saginaw. It’s too early to get real excited…but it sure looks like most of us will see some snow and that it won’t be a huge snowstorm/blizzard. This storm will bring down another shot of cold, Canadian air for the end of next week.

8 – 14 Day Temperature Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center

This is the 8-14 Day Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Feb. 4-10. The Great Lakes are “in the blue” which means that we have a good chance of seeing colder than average temperatures for that period. Before the colder air arrives, we should see PM temps. next Tue. in the 35° to 40° range briefly. That won’t be long enough to melt all the snow, but at least we’ll get up near or a little above freezing.

Major East Coast Snowstorm – graphic from WeatherBell

Major East Coast snowstorm today into Saturday. 1-2 FEET of snow possible.

Great Lakes Satellite Picture Wed. PM

Here’s the Great Lakes satellite pic. from Wed. PM. It was clear in Wisconsin. Lake-effect clouds form over the lake and move east-northeast into West Michigan. As the wind turned more southerly, the clouds cleared out of the Grand Rapids area (south of a line from Holland to Mt. Pleasant).

Lake Michigan satellite picture Wed. PM 1 26 22

Here’s the Lake Michigan satellite picture. Geneva and Green Lakes in Wisconsin are frozen over. These are relatively deep lakes that take longer to ice up. You can see ice along the snow from NW Indiana up to Milwaukee and then again farther north. Lake Michigan now has a 20,6% ice cover. The Great Lakes as a whole have a 23.5% ice cover. Check out the video of the ice moving away from shore late PM near Chicago.

Ice at S. Haven, Michigan 1 26 22 PM

Here’s a look at the ice at the S. Haven Channel Wed. PM. It’s not solid. You couldn’t walk on it. You can see the gray, lake-effect, low clouds on the horizon as we are looking northwest. Those clouds are over the open water.

Muskegon Channel Wed. PM 1 26 22

Up the coast a bit, this is the Muskegon Channel. Here we still had low clouds overhead. The amount of ice has increased quite a bit in the last several days. Here, the wind was 5 mph at noon and jumped to 20 mph at 1 pm. The peak wind gust overnight was 42.5 mph.

Thunder Bay Island Lighthouse Wed. 1 26 22

This is the Thunder Bay Lighthouse Wednesday. This is floating ice, not solid. Here the high temperature Wed. was 17.8 degrees.

Narrow band of extremely heavy snow in W. Kansas

ALSO: Well, this is fun. Frost in Florida. Magnitude 6.2 e-quake near Tonga. East Coast snowstorm still looks like a big one, esp. for parts of New England. Ice stacks in Utah. Nice sunset at Rosemary Beach, Florida. Red sunset at Lincoln NE. Gulf Shores sunset. Light pillars in Pennsylvania. Cirrus. Season-to-date Indianapolis has had its 2nd least snowy winter since 1944.

I’ll guess that the groundhog will NOT see his shadow on Feb. 2.