The first full week of April has been Spring Break Week for many kids in West Michigan. Unfortunately, the weather pattern hasn’t been very pleasant. We’ll stay mostly cloudy this Friday with scattered to widely scattered showers. There is a slight chance of a thundershower and a very slight chance of a cold air funnel. These are weak and not connected to big thunderstorms.

The last 10 days have brought us just 7% of possible sunshine. If we could turn clouds into money, it’d be like winning the lotto.

Satellite pic. of Lake Michigan Wed. PM

The pic. above is Lake Michigan Wed. PM. It was cloudy in Lower Michigan (and raining) with a band of clearing that we call the “dry slot” over Lake Michigan. You can see some lingering ice in Green Bay. Rainfall Wed: Muskegon 0.77″, Grand Rapids 0.69″, Battle Creek 0.67″, Holland 0.58″ and Kalamazoo 0.51″.

Since Jan. 1, Gr. Rapids has had 10.35″ of precipitation – that’s 2.49″ above average. The fields are a bit muddy right now. The average high temperature for Gr. Rapids is up to 54. Thursday the high was 45. Warmer weather is on the way for next week, with highs at least into the 60s…maybe a +70 a day or two. We’ll have to watch for thunderstorms next week.

The top pic. is the Mackinac Bridge on Sunday. The bridge was closed for nearly 7 hours because of ice falling off the bridge. The layer of fog in the picture is caused by moist air moving over the ice that is still in the Straits. Here’s what it looks like when ice is falling off the bridge – dangerous.

  • Here’s radar. More showers are likely today and Friday, though they will be mostly light and scattered. Good timing as most or all of the weekend will be dry, before we get another system that will bring us more showers and possible thunderstorms next week.

8-14 Day Temperature Forecast for April 11 – 17 from the Climate Prediction Center

This was the 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook for A;pril 11-17, indicating warmer than average temperatures. If that turns out to be the case, we can expect not only days with highs in the 60s, but maybe our first day in the 70s. While it’s warmer than average in the east, it’s chilly relative to average in the West.

Precipitation Forecast for April 11 – 17 from the Climate Prediction Center

We are expected to have above average rainfall in Michigan and the Great Lakes this week and next week. The combination of above average temperatures, above average rainfall and the fact that we are in the 2nd year of La Nina – that would certainly bring elevated chances for a round of thunderstorms and possibly even severe weather. We had a record number of tornadoes in the U.S. in the month of March and I expect the above average tornado and severe thunderstorm pattern to continue through the spring in the U.S.

When it’s chilly (this week), the severe storms stay to our south, but when it warms up, severe weather can move north into the Great Lakes.

After the warm-up next week, it’ll turn colder than average for the 3rd week of April.