Hurricane Sally, Tropical Storms Teddy and Vicky.

Bill's Blog

Early Wed. AM – – Hurricane Sally hardly moved Tuesday, which means some areas close to the coast had very heavy rainfall. The Pensacola Naval Air Station reported 16.5″ of rain and it was still raining. They could see over 25″. Sally has intensified overnight, with winds up to 100 mph. A buoy just south of Orange Beach reported a gust to 100.1 mph. Wind gusts hit 82 mph at Fort Morgan AL, 70 mph at the east end of Dauphin Island, 69 mph at Romar Beach, 66 mph in downtown Mobile AL, 64 mph at the Mobile Airport and 62 mph at Pensacola FL and Oriole Beach AL. Storm surge was causing flooding near the ocean in NW Florida back to Mobile.

We’re down to the letter “v”. Hurricane “Sally” will move onshore in LA, MS, AL this (Wed.) morning. Here’s surface weather observations from New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle. Wind gusts of hurricane force are possible in coastal areas from NW Florida to Mississippi. The greatest threat is from heavy rain and flooding due to the relative slow movement of the storm.

Earlier Saturday, Sally passed over S. Florida, where a band of squalls produced a 54 mph gust at Key Largo and a 44 mph gust at Matacumbe Key and at Sand Key. A weather station at the Channel 5 Bridge reported 11″ of rain at 11:45 am Saturday. Here’s Key West radar:

Southeast Regional Radar:

Southeast sector loop
Go to: Most Recent Image Here’s Southern Regional Radar:

Southern Mississippi Valley sector loop
Go to: Most Recent Image Here’s the forecast track for Sally:

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* The storm is expected to weaken as it moves onshore from a Category 1 hurricane to a tropical depression. Check out the latest Gulf of Mexico satellite loop.

[Image of WPC QPF U.S. rainfall potential]
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The band of heavier rain may pass across the Atlanta area into western South Carolina. It’s unlikely that any moisture from Sally gets as far north as Michigan.

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* Tropical Storm “Teddy” is likely to become a major hurricane and head toward Bermuda, which just got hit with Hurricane Paulette Monday. It should stay east of the United States.

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* Tropical Storm Vicky is expected to weaken to just a depression and does not pose a threat to land.

The next Atlantic tropical storms Wilfred. After that, we start using Greek letters.

Atlantic Hurricane Statistics Through 9 14 20 from Philip Klotzbach and Colorado St. University

Here’s Atlantic Hurricane statistics through 9/14. We’re on a record pace with almost three times the number of named storms as an average year. However the ACE Index is just 113% of average to this point. That should go up some this week with several active storms. While the Atlantic remains very active, the Pacific Ocean is having one of the quietest hurricane (typhoon) seasons on record.

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