Severe Weather Risk – Michigan and Midwest – Updated

Bill's Blog

Severe reports from Thursday pm/night

The map above is the Severe Weather Reports from Thursday. As of 3:15 am Friday – no tornadoes were confirmed. There were hail and wind damage reports in 9 states, including hail bigger than eggs in Iowa. We had mainly showers. We did get into the warm air briefly. Overnight, the temperature rose to 61° briefly in G.R., then fell quickly into the 40s as a cold front came through.

Storm reports for March 18, 2020

Here’s the storm reports for Wednesday. There were at least 4 tornadoes – one near Abilene TX, one near Chico, TX, one near Alvord TX and the other near Jackburo TX. There was hail to 2 1/4″ near Lubbock, Texas. There were wind gusts measured to 62 mph at Abilene TX and 69 mph at Tipton OK. There was building damage in at least 3 places.

The best chance of thunderstorms in West Michigan will be this late this afternoon into this evening. Some scattered storms are likely, gusty winds are possible. Some significant rain (1/2 to 1″) is also likely. Here’s regional radar:

 
Central Great Lakes sector loop

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And Southern Plains regional radar:

South Plains sector loop

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There were two small tornadoes in NW Texas on Tuesday – one near Throckmorton and the other near Pleasant Hill. There were also 5 reports of marginally severe hail (1″ in diameter) in N. Texas – there were no injuries or any significant damage from these storms.

Here’s: National lightning, W. Michigan lightning, the latest G.R. NWS forecast discussion, current Michigan weather observations, a Michigan weather map and our closing list.

1-2″ of rain expected south of I-94.

Probability of 2″ or more of snow over the next 72 hours

This map from the Weather Prediction Center shows the probability of 2″ or more of snow over the next 72 hours…with high probabilities over the U.P. and N. Wisconsin. Much of the West will see some snow. We’ll get rain, but we’ll also get some chilly air that will send temperatures falling during the day on Friday and we’ll be mostly in the 30s during the daylight hours of Saturday and Sunday.

Also: Shout out to farmers. Amazing hailstorm from last summer. 6.1 magnitude e-quake. How much water is in a snowflake. Redbuds blooming in AL. Tuesday’s National High/Low temps: 94° at Zapata County Airport, TX; -14° at 19 miles south of Rudyard, MT. 2.58″ of rain fell at Honolulu HI. Way down yonder on the Chattahoochee. Pretty sunset. Another pretty sunset. Look at the snow totals in the Sierra Nevada Mtns. of California. Zoomed-in satellite view of tornadic thunderstorm.

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