In Michigan there was a Marginal Risk of a severe thunderstorm east of a line from Hillsdale to Oscoda. There was no severe weather in Michigan. Several reports of wind damage came in from Western Ohio. There was Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in parts of Mississippi, NE Louisiana and a small part of S. Arkansas.
Here’s the SPC probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a given point. The highest probability (+10%) is over the Moderate Risk Area. Note the chance of a tornado in Michigan is pretty much non-existent. SPC says: “…Significant severe storms, including widespread damaging winds, and at least a few tornadoes are expected across portions of northeast Louisiana into Mississippi, especially overnight. Large hail is also expected to be a concern, mainly during the day across parts of eastern Oklahoma into the Arklatex region.”
This is the Severe Weather Outlook Map for Saturday. Again, the real threat for severe weather is in the Southern U.S. They do indicate a low or Marginal Severe Risk for areas along and south of i-94. We could see some brief heavy rain Saturday/Saturday night with a few lingering light showers in the cool air most days next week.
As of 10:45 pm Friday – no tornadoes, 218 severe hail reports with golfball-sized hail in TX, OK, AR and LA. There’s 40 severe wind reports so far. Here’s Michigan radar:
And Southern U.S. Radar:
- You can come here and follow storms with these links: Current severe weather watches…meso discussions…storm reports…lightning data…map of local Nexstar TV stations to locally follow the storms…Eastern U.S. weather map…and a MS/AL weather map.
Thursday there were two tornadoes in the U.S…both were in Tennessee, one of them damaging some homes. There were 10 reports of wind damage. There was a 48 mph gust at the Battle Creek Airport. There were 36 reports of severe-criteria hail, the largest was baseball-size in Brazos Co. Texas.
The models continue to predict a pattern change to significantly cooler air for much of next week into the following week. High temperatures will be a bit cooler today with highs staying in the low-mid 60s (still above average for April 9), but falling to the low 50s for much of next week. It’s not impossible that we could see frost and even an isolated snow flurry at some point next week.